Sunday, May 6, 2012

Four out of Five Governors Implementing Austerity Measures Are Republican

DATA DRIVEN VIEW POINT:  Paul Krugman and many other economists have convincingly argued that government austerity is exactly the wrong prescription to lift us out of this recession.  Government stimulus spending is what we need to get the economy moving.  Krugman points to Europe where strict austerity measures are crushing the economies of Ireland, Spain and Greece.  The arguments for stimulus spending right now make perfect sense, but corporate biased politicians and some in the mainstream media aren't listening. 


The Department of Labor Statistics just posted the latest US employment numbers which were lower than expected, even though they are still in positive territory. Private sector employment remains sluggish, but has finally reached pre-recession levels.  Recovery of state government jobs lost in the recession has not reached that milestone.  As of March of this year there are still 42,400 fewer state government jobs than in February of 2008.  Recovery in public employment, employment controlled by elected officials, is lower than expected as many states are still retrenching and implementing austerity measures.  This strategy is hindering our recovery.  


Below is a table showing the total state government employment numbers from the Department of Labor Statistics Website.  These statistics do not include local or county government employment which is also below pre-recession levels.  What the data shows is that from February to March of this year total state employment rose by 14,100 jobs.  However, fifteen states posted declines in state government employment.  Three of these states have have Democratic governors and 12 of them have Republican governors.  Together these "austerity" states lost 9,200 state government jobs between February and March of this year.  States with Republican governors lost 5,900 state jobs while states with Democratic governors lost 3,300 state jobs.  In February 4 our of 5 states still implementing austerity measures had Republican Governors.


State Government Employment and State Party Affiliations
Employment numbers X 1000 from Dept. of Labor Statistics, May 4, 2012
State             Blue = Obama Win State
Obama Win %
Party of Current Gov
Current Governor
Feb '08
Feb '12
Mar '12
Change Since 2008
Change Feb '12 -Mar '12
Hawaii
72
D
Neil Abercrombie (D)                (R in 2010)
75.5
73.4
74.3
-2.8%
1.2%
Vermont
67
D
Peter Shumlin (D)                (R in 2010)
19
18.5
18.5
-2.6%
0.0%
New York
63
D
Andrew Cuomo (D)
262.3
264.3
264.8
0.8%
0.2%
Delaware
62
D
Jack Markell (D)
31.7
32.3
35.5
1.9%
9.0%
Illinois
62
D
Pat Quinn (D)
158
153.5
151.9
-2.8%
-1.1%
Maryland
62
D
Martin O'Malley (D)
110.2
116.3
117.6
5.5%
1.1%
Massachusetts
62
D
Deval Patrick (D)   
120.3
128.2
128.5
6.6%
0.2%
California
61
D
Jerry Brown (D)                (R in 2010)
492.8
486.9
490.9
-1.2%
0.8%
Connecticut
61
D
Dan Malloy (D)                (R in 2010)
72.1
69.1
68.4
-4.2%
-1.0%
Washington
58
D
Christine Gregoire (D)
156.6
153
152
-2.3%
-0.7%
Oregon
57
D
John Kitzhaber  (D)
76.8
81.9
82.2
6.6%
0.4%
Colorado
54
D
John Hickenlooper (D)
89.5
99.4
100.6
11.1%
1.2%
Minnesota
54
D
Mark Dayton (D) 
(R in 2010)
101.4
102.3
102.4
0.9%
0.1%
New Hampshire
54
D
John Lynch (D) 
25.8
25.9
26.1
0.4%
0.8%
North Carolina
50
D
Beverly Perdue (D)
197.6
200.4
201.7
1.4%
0.6%
Missouri
48
D
Jay Nixon (D)
109
102.4
102.6
-6.1%
0.2%
Montana
47
D
Brian Schweitzer (D)
25.5
24.4
24.7
-4.3%
1.2%
West Virginia
43
D
Earl Ray Tomblin (D)
46.8
50.5
51.7
7.9%
2.3%
Kentucky
41
D
Steve Beshear (D)
101.5
100.4
100.6
-1.1%
0.2%
Arkansas
39
D
Mike Beebe (D) 
74.4
78
78.7
4.8%
0.9%
Rhode Island
63
I
Lincoln Chafee (I)
(R in 2010)
17
16.2
16.2
-4.7%
0.0%
Maine
58
R
Paul LePage (R )
(D in 2010)
29.3
28.5
28.3
-2.7%
-0.7%
Michigan
57
R
Rick Snyder (R) 
(D in 2010)
177.2
182.9
182.7
3.2%
-0.1%
New Jersey
57
R
Chris Christie (R) 
157.3
147.1
147.5
-6.5%
0.3%
New Mexico
57
R
Susana Martinez ( R) (D in 2010)
61.4
60.2
60
-2.0%
-0.3%
Wisconsin
56
R
Scott Walker (R)  
(D in 2010)
106.5
95.1
96
-10.7%
0.9%
Nevada
55
R
Brian Sandoval (R) 
37.9
36.5
37.1
-3.7%
1.6%
Pennsylvania
55
R
Tom Corbett (R)
(D in 2010)
167.8
163.2
162.9
-2.7%
-0.2%
Iowa
54
R
Terry Branstad (R)   (D in 2010)
68.2
64.8
64.4
-5.0%
-0.6%
Virginia
53
R
Bob McDonnell (R) 
156.6
158.2
159
1.0%
0.5%
Florida
51
R
Rick Scott (R) 
220.6
215.7
214.8
-2.2%
-0.4%
Ohio
51
R
John Kasich (R) 
(D in 2010)
174.5
170.5
170.6
-2.3%
0.1%
Indiana
50
R
Mitchell Daniels (R)
129.4
118.6
116.9
-8.3%
-1.5%
Georgia
47
R
Nathan Deal (R) 
164.9
154.5
154.7
-6.3%
0.1%
Arizona
45
R
Jan Brewer(R) 
93.6
86
86.4
-8.1%
0.5%
North Dakota
45
R
Jack Salrymple (R)
23.8
25.2
25.2
5.9%
0.0%
South Carolina
45
R
Nikki Haley (R) 
100.5
97.7
97
-2.8%
-0.7%
South Dakota
45
R
Dennis Daugaard (R) 
18.3
18.8
18.9
2.7%
0.5%
Texas
44
R
Rick Perry (R) 
370
367.8
368.4
-0.6%
0.2%
Mississippi
43
R
Phil Bryant (R)
61.6
60.5
60.8
-1.8%
0.5%
Kansas
42
R
Sam Brownback (R) 
(D in 2010)
55
54.4
54.3
-1.1%
-0.2%
Nebraska
42
R
David Heineman (R) 
39.1
41.9
42.3
7.2%
0.9%
Tennessee
42
R
Bill Haslam (R)
(D in 2010)
98.3
101.8
101.5
3.6%
-0.3%
Louisiana
40
R
Bobby Jindal (R) 
117.8
107.6
107.1
-8.7%
-0.5%
Alabama
39
R
Robert Bentley (R) 
110.2
105.1
105.6
-4.6%
0.5%
Alaska
38
R
Sean Parnell (R) 
25.1
26.4
26
5.2%
-1.5%
Idaho
36
R
Butch Otter (R) 
30.5
28.4
28.5
-6.9%
0.4%
Oklahoma
34
R
Mary Fallin (R)
85.6
88.4
89.1
3.3%
0.8%
Utah
34
R
Gary Herbert (R)
65.3
69
70.2
5.7%
1.7%
Wyoming
33
R
Matt Mead (R)  
(D in 2010)
15.8
17.3
17.4
9.5%
0.6%





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