by Brian T. Lynch - January 30, 2014
Yesterday evening Ezra Klein spoke at Drew University in Madison, New Jersey, as their guest lecturer. Ezra Klein is a journalist, blogger (Wonk Blog), political analyst and occasional guest star on MSNBC's news opinion shows. At age 29 he is one of the most influential journalists in Washington, and he is currently creating his own internet news organization in collaboration with Vox Media.
Klein focused his remarks on the broad structures of modern
American politics that explain the context for President Obama's State of the
Union address the night before. The President's address, he started, was
notable for what it didn't contain. It didn't contain any reference to getting
any big new initiatives passed in Congress.
President Obama has conceded that anything he proposes would be blocked
from passage. Instead, Obama proposed plans to accomplish what he can through executive
orders. He is using, and perhaps expanding his executive powers. The other remarkable
feature of the President's address was the specificity and scope of these
executive plans. Klein spoke to both of these issues.
By objective measures, according to Klein, the U.S. Congress
is the most polarized it has been in a long time. He pointed out that polarization
is not synonymous with rancorous debates or disagreements. Polarization is a measure
of the overlap between two political parties, the less overlap, the greater the
polarization. He pointed out that in the 1950's and early '60's the Democratic
party was comprised of moderates, liberals from the North and conservatives
from the South. The Republican party was also a blend of conservatives,
liberals and moderates. Under these conditions there were pitched debates both
between and within both parties. There were also ways to forge compromises
between like minded representatives within each party.
The dynamic that blended the two parties this way was race,
according to historians Klein cited. Once the civil rights act was passed and
progress was made in racial integration, the Democrats lost the South and the
two parties began reshuffling. Liberals moved into the Democratic Party and
conservatives moved into the Republican Party. This resulted in less overlap and
lead to the polarization we have today. In Klein's view, the most conservative
Democrat today has less in common with the most liberal Republican in that
party, and vice versa. There is so little overlap that compromise is nearly impossible
to achieve.
Party polarization and the inability to compromise leads
directly to congressional stalemate (which Klein begrudging called
"gridlock"). Under current
conditions, when a minority party helps the majority pass legislation it makes
the majority party look strong and effective, thereby improving their chances
of being re-elected. Conversely, when the minority party obstructs the
majority, it makes the majority party look ineffective and powerless causing voters
to switch allegiances and elect the minority party. This, according to Klein, explains why the
current congress is unable to act.
Without structural changes, such as the rise of a third
party, Klein sees little hope for improvements in congress. The most powerful branch
of government, the legislative branch, is at an impasse. According to Klein,
that doesn't mean nothing will be getting done. As he sees it, when congress
can't exercise its powers, the authority and power of the other two branches of
government grows to fill the void. This
isn't necessarily a bad thing (but it does seem to require greater vigilance on
our part). This brought Klein to his second observation about Obama's
State-of-the-Union address; the detailed account of where the Administration
would be taking actions without the Congress.
The first two years of the Obama presidency saw the passage
of more huge and important pieces of legislation than at any other time since
the Lyndon Johnson administration. These are game changing initiatives with far
reaching implications for American society. For example, the ACA has many little
noticed, but broadly stated provision that will eventually re-invent (and
improve) how treatment of common illnesses will be approached by doctors in the
future.
Klein pointed out that most laws
are written in general legalese that still requires Executive Branch interpretation
and the creation of rules and policies to create an operating administrative framework.
The 2,000 page Affordable Care Act, he said, has already generated tens of
thousands of pages of rules, regulations and policies in a still unfolding
process actuating the law. It is the
creation of policy and administrative regulations that gives chief executives
in state and federal government their most effective way to exercise power.
President Obama just announce that this is exactly what he intends to do. I
will uses his executive powers to permanently shape the policies and interpretations of the
legislation he got passed in his first term. He intends to accomplish the goals
for which he was elected through the constitutional powers he has as the
administrator-in-chief of the federal bureaucracy.
(Note: Once in place, the rules and administrative codes created
to animate laws are, by intentional design, hard to alter. This is actually the
role and purpose of a bureaucracy, to be a bulwark against the capricious dictates
of power or transient swings of populist politics. Bureaucracies are often
maligned for being cumbersome and slow to change, yet this is also their greatest
contribution towards stable and coherent governance. This fact is little
understood and seldom appreciated.)
Much of the beltway media has interpreted the President's
address as an admission that he is already a lame duck president, but nothing
could be further from the truth. Klein believes that the rest of his term will
produce enormous changes and benefits through executive actions. Because these
changes will be happening in the nitty-gritty of agency bureaucracies it will
be difficult for the beltway press to report on the changes. The Washington
media, according to Klein, has a structural bias towards the much easier
reporting on Congress. The legislative branch is centralized, accessible and
filled with characters and conflicts that sell the news. Administrative law is
dry, decentralized and much less accessible. Still, this is where Klein sees
the real action over the next few years. Perhaps this is where he intends to
focus his attentions as he moves to create his new internet news venture with
Vox Media. Time will tell.
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